September 8, 2026

How could Iran’s proposed maritime zone shape US-Iran tensions?

Murat Sofuoglu

“They want an agreement with Washington, but they think they can play for time. They can afford to hold a hard line. And they can read the US calendar: the midterms are a test of strength for Trump, and Iran will want to make it an expensive one. So I would expect a harder phase of the conflict in the months ahead rather than a settlement.”

ChinaMed Research Fellow Theo Nencini was quoted by TRT World in an article by Murat Sofuoglu examining the maritime exclusion zone proposed by Iran.

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Read the full article here.

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This project is realized with the support of the Unit for Analysis, Policy Planning and Historical Documentation - Directorate General for Political Affairs and International Security of the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation, in accordance with Article 23 ‒ bis of the Decree of the President of the Italian Republic 18/1967.
The views expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views ofthe Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation.

Published with the support of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation pursuant to art. 23-bis of Presidential Decree 18/1967. The views expressed in this publication are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation.

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